Assembly Summary

Literacy rate

93.5%

Above the state average
Sex ratio

945

Women per 1000 men
Urbanization

100%

Fully urban area
Young voters

38%

Key age group (18-35)

4.11 Lakh

Total Voters

2.02 Lakh
Men
2.02 Lakh
Women

Demographic division

Youth (18–25) 12%
Working class (26–40) 35%
Senior citizens (41–60+) 33%

Cultural heritage

Deekshabhumi

Deekshabhoomi

The World Heritage Site where Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar took his historic initiation. A symbol of peace and social revolution.

Ambazari

Ambazari Lake

The largest lake in Nagpur. A great place for morning walks and nature lovers.

Temples

Religious places

The World Heritage Site where Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar took his historic initiation. A symbol of peace and social revolution.

Economic scenario

100% urban constituency, based on service sector and education.

Employment division

Corporate and IT services

Major voter group. Employees in IT (MIHAN), banking and telecom. Major supporters of BJP.

Small entrepreneurs and traders

Grocery, hotel business, hospitals. Sensitive to GST and infrastructure policies.

Women's Economy (SHGs)

Boutiques, tiffin services and self-help groups - the 'silent engines' of the economy.

Education and migration

  • Educational hub

    Home to VNIT, medical colleges and engineering institutes. Large 'floating population' of students and hostels.

  • Migration problems
    • Inflow from Vidarbha and Madhya Pradesh for employment.
    • Mainly residing in Jayatala and Trimurti Nagar areas.
    • Problems: Lack of affordable housing and water shortages in summer.

Ethnic Equations Matrix

Political structure of the constituency

Group Society Share Political Trend
OBC Kunbi 23% Core BJP
OBC Oil 20% BJP supporter
SC Buddhist (Neo-Buddhist) 19% Congress / Disadvantaged
GEN Brahmin 8% Loyal to BJP
ST Gond / Other 4% Leaning towards Congress
The formula for victory

OBC consolidation (Kunbi + Teli) accounts for 43% of the total votes .

Major opponents

SC votes (19%) are significant but divided between Congress and the deprived.

Significant Effect

Community leaders like Yash Satpute (Teli) and Avinash Thackeray (Mali) are crucial.

2024 Election Analysis

Winner
Devendra Fadnavis
Bharatiya Janata Party

1,29,401 votes (57.36%)

Runner-up
Swollen Cheeks
Indian National Congress

89,691 votes

Important Observation

Despite the victory, the vote share has decreased compared to 2019. The low urban voter turnout (54.86%) is a challenge. The presence of the underprivileged has divided the opposition vote, which indirectly benefited the sitting MLAs.

Journey to dominance
  • 2009

    Constituency creation
    Devendra Fadnavis’ first victory.

  • 2014

    Chief Ministership
    Record vote share. Became Chief Minister.

  • 2019

    Hat-trick
    Known as an invincible fortress.

  • 2024

    Fourth consecutive win
    Even if the vote share decreases, victory is certain.